tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post676102228348046206..comments2023-06-23T03:21:41.797-07:00Comments on The Sports Police: De-myth-tifying the Wells ReportThe Sports Policehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comBlogger17125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-1143077247173232512015-12-24T12:53:04.738-08:002015-12-24T12:53:04.738-08:00Completely agree with thoughts shared in this arti...Completely agree with thoughts shared in this article.Sharda Hinkelhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03049412878821578827noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-1827573606947233252015-06-25T19:02:35.370-07:002015-06-25T19:02:35.370-07:00Thanks, Michael, for a very well-written reply. It...Thanks, Michael, for a very well-written reply. It's flattering to know my work catches the eye of intelligent people.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-41948719637530508822015-06-25T19:01:04.340-07:002015-06-25T19:01:04.340-07:00Page 87 - exactly!
here's an explanation of w...Page 87 - exactly!<br /><br />here's an explanation of what the text means: http://www.patspulpit.com/2015/5/14/8609329/what-is-this-deflate-that-you-speak-ofThe Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-7655613788054727202015-06-25T18:19:18.707-07:002015-06-25T18:19:18.707-07:00Good article - with regards to the use of the word...Good article - with regards to the use of the word of "deflate" - there was also a text between Jastremski and McNally that said something to the effect of "deflate and get rid of that jacket"....haven't read the Wells report in a while but I think it was on page 87 based on a search I did.....Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-57807132653501357352015-06-22T20:45:57.533-07:002015-06-22T20:45:57.533-07:00I actually just re-worked the chart. The results w...I actually just re-worked the chart. The results were even closer than before! Now we are down to 0.06 in unexplained PSI loss, which is just incredible given the number of unknowns. Here are a few of the assumptions I used to generate the temperature figures:<br /><br />1. The Wells Report states that the officials took 2-4 minutes to develop a procedure for measuring the balls. I split the difference and went with 3 minutes, meaning that I assumed that they started measuring balls at the 3:00 mark.<br />2. The Wells Report states that the officials took 4-5 minutes to measure the Patriots' balls. I split the difference and went with 4 minutes and 30 seconds. <br />3. Given the above, the measurements of the Patriots' balls took place between the 3:00 and 7:30 marks.<br />4. Appendix I, page 48, item #2 states that the area where the pregame measurements occurred had a temp of 67-71 degrees. I assumed halfway between, which is 69.<br />5. Figure 22, page 44, in appendix I shows that the balls have basically returned to their original PSI level, or extremely close to that level, after 13.5 minutes in the locker room, so I assumed they were at their pre-game temp of 69 degrees at that time.<br />6. Given the above, the balls went from 48 degrees to 69 degrees in 13.5 minutes, for a warming rate of 1.56 degrees per minute. <br />7. I assumed the four Colts balls were measured in one minute. The Wells Report says a man can go into a bathroom, take 13 balls out of a bag, let air out of each one, then repack the balls and leave the bathroom in as little as 61 seconds. If one man can do that, then two referees can check the air pressure on four footballs in one minute. Just me making a bit of a statement.<br />The Wells Report estimates the refilling took 2-5 minutes. Normally I would split the difference and go with 3.5 minutes, but to accommodate the above, I went with 4.5.<br />8. I assumed that the Colts' balls were measured faster than the Patriots' balls were, because halftime was almost over when the Colts' balls were measured. I assumed a warming rate of 0.52 degrees per football for the Colts' balls. Colts' ball #3 was excluded from the study, but of course, on the day of the game, it was measured along with the other Colt footballs. To accommodate the missing ball, I added an extra 0.52 degrees to ball #4.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-59566234330467129182015-06-22T18:10:45.206-07:002015-06-22T18:10:45.206-07:00Clarification:
(namely to keep the world from loo...Clarification: <br />(namely to keep the world from looking too much into massive NFL incompetence).<br /><br />Can't imagine what NFL competence in this matter would look like.Michael McCordhttps://www.facebook.com/michael.mccord.31508noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-88580596248806354672015-06-22T18:03:15.240-07:002015-06-22T18:03:15.240-07:00I took those numbers from a spreadsheet (http://dr...I took those numbers from a spreadsheet (http://drewfustin.com/extra/deflategate/deflategate.xlsx) by Drew Fustin, a PhD physicist who developed them for his own study. I actually bumped up the beginning temperature for the first ball because he had it at 48 degrees, and that seems wrong because the balls would have been in the locker room for 2-4 minutes by that time. I will look at the numbers and adjust if necessary. <br /><br />The main point here is that there is a timing differential, and the Colts' balls did in fact gain more pressure than the Pats' did, and that difference probably makes it impossible to prove statistical significance. But I'll definitely have another look.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-73372603811865509922015-06-22T17:15:22.286-07:002015-06-22T17:15:22.286-07:00Thanks Dave for your work in fighting against the ...Thanks Dave for your work in fighting against the 'bias and general stupidity" that informs too much about this farce. I call it Deflate Derangement Syndrome and it's the sports world equivalent of the Salem Witch Trials -- or Alice in Wonderland ('Sentence First, Trial Later!") -- and the mainstream media and talk radio yahoos have nurtured the ignorance to an amazing degree. This inquisition cares not for scientific facts, common sense or actual evidence. The Wells Report is a joke and rife with anti-logic yet some treat it as Holy Writ. Not sure how this will end because it's a battle between logic and reason against other agendas (namely to keep the world from looking too much into massive NFL competence). Roger Goodell has thrown in his lot with this which means he's tied to the mast of the Wells Report. We'll see how that turns out.Michael McCordhttps://www.facebook.com/michael.mccord.31508noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-75059966574354503672015-06-22T13:40:30.389-07:002015-06-22T13:40:30.389-07:00Just a quick question regarding your chart about t...Just a quick question regarding your chart about the temperature increase as the balls were being measured at half time. I know you said you estimated what the temperatures would be, but did you use any sense of science or math to do that? The reason I ask is that, using the timeline you discussed in the paragraphs preceding the chart, it seems that it would have taken a maximum of 9 minutes to check all of the Patriots balls, during which time they raised 10.27 degrees. Then I assume you are adding in the 3 minutes of reinflating the balls before testing the Colts balls. So my question is, in that 3 minutes how did the temperature of the Colts balls jump up by over 9 degrees? I mean it took almost 9 minutes for the same temperature increase in the Patriots balls. I realize you are just guessing at the temps but isn't this really just a case of picking numbers to fit your theory? Especially considering that as temperatures get closer to equilibrium the rate of heat transfer slows. The rest of your arguments seem fairly reasonable but this one just screams homerism. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-21620288537050688302015-06-12T20:36:28.484-07:002015-06-12T20:36:28.484-07:001. Here's the "Deflate" thing from N...1. Here's the "Deflate" thing from NFLN: http://www.patspulpit.com/2015/5/31/8694631/2009-nfl-network-using-deflate-for-weight-loss<br /><br />2. Yep, they accepted every other recollection Anderson had except that one.<br /><br />3. Drew Fustin (a physicist) came up with some estimated temperatures on this spreadsheet: http://drewfustin.com/extra/deflategate/deflategate.xlsx<br />I bumped them up a bit because he had the first ball at 48 degrees which probably was not correct, since the balls were in the locker room for 2-4 minutes by that time.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-54718782930587463192015-06-12T19:19:12.289-07:002015-06-12T19:19:12.289-07:00Great piece.
Couple things to add:
1) Apparently...Great piece.<br /><br />Couple things to add:<br /><br />1) Apparently deflate was used on the NFL network years ago to refer to losing weight...that's got to be the most stinging rebuttal to levy at the deepest skeptic. Sorry I don't have the link handy but it's out there.<br /><br />2) Walt Andersen's best guess was that he used the logo gauge. That's what the report states. They got him to admit that it was possible that he used the other gauge which justified (in their mind) dismissing his recollection in favour of the other gauge. Talk about choosing your 'facts'.<br /><br />3) What did you use for your temperature guesses? Weather reports and reports about the locker room temperature?<br /><br /><br />Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-48964936234896650802015-06-12T13:43:43.008-07:002015-06-12T13:43:43.008-07:00Thank you!! Stay tuned for more!Thank you!! Stay tuned for more!The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-23527103127732235242015-06-12T13:42:33.286-07:002015-06-12T13:42:33.286-07:00WOW! This is some great feedback! Thanks so much f...WOW! This is some great feedback! Thanks so much for taking the time to write.<br /><br />I sent a link to my "Swan Boat" post to Jeffrey Kessler (Brady's lawyer) and he responded briefly to say thanks. Not sure if he's using it but he's welcome to. I also sent it to DeMaurice Smith from the NFLPA. Got linked by PatsPuplit.com but that's about the closest I came to being featured in the Boston media. Sadly, "The Pats are innocent" is not a story that many people want to hear.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-7590876070857195392015-06-12T09:40:51.766-07:002015-06-12T09:40:51.766-07:00Great article! Great article! Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-74936890155358589502015-06-11T20:44:16.417-07:002015-06-11T20:44:16.417-07:00I just wish more national media would read this ar...I just wish more national media would read this article. I'll share with as many people as I can. I like the myth, status, explanation, conclusion set up. Great points about Pats gauge, master gauge& moisture, and debunking of myth that this was happening for a long time. My husband especially liked the line about accusing someone of arson with no fire!! Truly think we'll-thought out piece like this would be helpful to NFLPA & Brady. As a Pats fan and Brady fan want to say have really enjoyed reading your stuff and thanks for getting the truth out there Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-78482120136700980322015-06-11T16:23:33.122-07:002015-06-11T16:23:33.122-07:00All true. If Brady is penalized at all for this, i...All true. If Brady is penalized at all for this, it will be a sin.The Sports Policehttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09289099538660931875noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3001633070653943323.post-59270881961416551952015-06-11T08:24:39.449-07:002015-06-11T08:24:39.449-07:00NFL was never interested in the facts. This was a ...NFL was never interested in the facts. This was a league-wide desire for retribution against a team that was a little too successful for the other 31 owners. They long ago developed the narrative that the Patriots must be cheating. The Wells report failed at every level to prove a thing and yet the NFL came down with a historically harsh punishment for the team and a ;player whom they had nothing on. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com